The NBA's True Playoff "Death Lineups"
by Roland Beech
With the rise of the Warriors in 2014-15, one of their strengths was a 'small ball' lineup with Draymond Green as Center leading a very switchable defensive group where no player was listed as taller than 6'8 (Harrison Barnes 6'8, Green 6'7, Thompson 6'7, Iguodala 6'6, Curry 6'3). With some heroics during the playoffs the stage was set for this group to soon garner the nickname the "Death Lineup" in the following season with its almost unprecedented follow up dominance -- a +163 plus/minus in 173 minutes during the '15-16 regular season.
Later of course they replaced Barnes with Kevin Durant to form an even more powerful on paper 5-man unit. This group shortly had picked up the moniker of the "Hamptons Five" and went on to win two straight titles before falling in the most recent season in part due to injuries to Durant and Thompson.
However, nicknames aside the question is what teams have actually featured the most dominant playoff 5-man units?
Fortunately our friends over at Basketball-Reference.com
currently have lineup data going back to the 2000-01 season so we can examine this for almost twenty seasons at this point.
Highest Playoffs Plus/Minus Lineups
Tm |
Season |
Lineup |
G |
Min |
Plus/Minus |
Outcome |
DET |
2003-04 |
C. Billups | R. Hamilton | T. Prince | R. Wallace | B. Wallace |
23 |
522 |
+132 |
Champion |
CLE |
2015-16 |
K. Irving | J. Smith | L. James | K. Love | T. Thompson |
20 |
371 |
+130 |
Champion |
IND |
2012-13 |
G. Hill | L. Stephenson | P. George | D. West | R. Hibbert |
18 |
415 |
+126 |
...conf finals |
DAL |
2010-11 |
J. Kidd | J. Terry | S. Marion | D. Nowitzki | T. Chandler |
21 |
163 |
+115 |
Champion |
LAL |
2001-02 |
D. Fisher | K. Bryant | R. Fox | R. Horry | S. O'Neal |
19 |
369 |
+114 |
Champion |
WAS |
2016-17 |
J. Wall | B. Beal | O. Porter | M. Morris | M. Gortat |
13 |
250 |
+106 |
...conf semis |
PHI |
2018-19 |
B. Simmons | J. Redick | J. Butler | T. Harris | J. Embiid |
11 |
173 |
+94 |
...conf semis |
CLE |
2008-09 |
M. Williams | D. West | L. James | A. Varejao | Z. Ilgauskas |
14 |
273 |
+92 |
...conf finals |
LAL |
2000-01 |
D. Fisher | K. Bryant | R. Fox | H. Grant | S. O'Neal |
16 |
289 |
+92 |
Champion |
NJN |
2002-03 |
J. Kidd | K. Kittles | R. Jefferson | K. Martin | J. Collins |
20 |
349 |
+91 |
Finals |
IND |
2011-12 |
G. Hill | P. George | D. Granger | D. West | R. Hibbert |
11 |
240 |
+86 |
...conf semis |
LAL |
2007-08 |
D. Fisher | K. Bryant | V. Radmanovic | L. Odom | P. Gasol |
21 |
353 |
+86 |
Finals |
TOR |
2018-19 |
K. Lowry | D. Green | K. Leonard | P. Siakam | M. Gasol |
24 |
383 |
+85 |
Champion |
ATL |
2014-15 |
J. Teague | K. Korver | D. Carroll | P. Millsap | A. Horford |
14 |
243 |
+81 |
...conf finals |
BOS |
2007-08 |
R. Rondo | R. Allen | P. Pierce | K. Garnett | K. Perkins |
25 |
443 |
+77 |
Champion |
DET |
2006-07 |
C. Billups | R. Hamilton | T. Prince | R. Wallace | C. Webber |
16 |
266 |
+77 |
...conf finals |
SAS |
2011-12 |
T. Parker | D. Green | K. Leonard | B. Diaw | T. Duncan |
12 |
136 |
+76 |
...conf finals |
GSW |
2017-18 |
S. Curry | K. Thompson | A. Iguodala | K. Durant | D. Green |
9 |
128 |
+68 |
Champion |
LAL |
2008-09 |
D. Fisher | K. Bryant | T. Ariza | L. Odom | P. Gasol |
21 |
310 |
+68 |
Champion |
DET |
2004-05 |
C. Billups | R. Hamilton | T. Prince | R. Wallace | B. Wallace |
25 |
553 |
+68 |
Finals |
Over the nineteen seasons we have data for, on a simple total plus/minus look the '03-04 Detroit Pistons starting five has the slight edge with a +132 mark (and +41 in the Finals against the Lakers). Six teams featured a +100 or better playoff lineup, with four winning titles.
Notably this Pistons' group stands out for having the top two highest minutes played together for a 5-man lineup in a playoff season (553 in '04-05, 522 in '03-04). This is ahead by a considerable margin over the third hightest minutes lineup used by the '07-08 Celtics with 443.
The '15-16 Cavs beat the Warriors getting a +18 in 86 minutes series from the top lineup (and +36 in 66 minutes with Richard Jefferson subbing in for Love).
The Pacers have two lineups on the leaderboard, but neither could get by LeBron on their own despite the #3 death lineup above being +46 in 179 minutes in the series that season against LeBron.
Also worth noting is that of these top twenty "Playoff Death Lineups" nineteen were starting units...the lone exception being the '10-11 Dallas Mavericks who were #4 in pure total plus/minus but included 6th man Jason Terry joining four starters to be the "closing lineup" and had by far the best plus/minus per minute of any lineup above. This lineup also was outstanding in the finals: +44 in 66 minutes against the Heat.
The '16-17 Washington Wizards had a dominant lineup but couldn't get out of the second round, losing a game seven to Boston -- the starters were doing the job and the team led by 2 when the first sub was made late in the 3rd quarter to the group...when the 'Death Lineup' was fully returned to the court again five minutes later (10 mins left in Q4) the Wizards were losing by...THIRTEEN and couldn't claw all the way back. The unit finished an incredible +77 in 143 minutes against Boston. Too bad players can't play all 48 minutes DC faithful!
Similarly the '18-19 Philadelphia 76ers had arguably the best 5-man lineup in the East but couldn't survive with Embiid resting, losing a game seven where Embiid was +10 in 45 minutes, and the Sixers without him were -12 in 3 minutes...
Finally the Kobe Lakers have four different lineups in the top twenty, all with Derek Fisher manning the point.
NBA 'Death Lineups' per 48 Minutes
|
Another way to look at this is not just a straight raw plus/minus total but with a "per 48 minutes" effectiveness. To qualify I'll require a lineup to have a raw plus/minus of +50 or higher:
Highest per 48 minutes Playoff Lineups
Tm |
Season |
Lineup |
G |
Min |
Plus/Minus per 48 Min |
Outcome |
GSW |
2018-19 |
S. Curry | A. Iguodala | K. Durant | D. Green | K. Looney |
9 |
34 |
+78 |
Finals |
BOS |
2001-02 |
K. Anderson | P. Pierce | A. Walker | E. Williams | R. Rogers |
14 |
78 |
+34 |
...conf finals |
CLE |
2006-07 |
D. Gibson | D. Jones | L. James | D. Marshall | A. Varejao |
10 |
88 |
+34 |
Finals |
DAL |
2010-11 |
J. Kidd | J. Terry | S. Marion | D. Nowitzki | T. Chandler |
21 |
163 |
+33 |
Champion |
MEM |
2010-11 |
M. Conley | O. Mayo | S. Battier | Z. Randolph | M. Gasol |
13 |
82 |
+33 |
...conf semis |
CLE |
2015-16 |
M. Dellavedova | I. Shumpert | R. Jefferson | L. James | C. Frye |
16 |
77 |
+31 |
Champion |
SAS |
2011-12 |
T. Parker | D. Green | K. Leonard | B. Diaw | T. Duncan |
12 |
136 |
+26 |
...conf finals |
PHI |
2018-19 |
B.Simmons | J. Redick | J. Butler | T. Harris | J.Embiid |
11 |
173 |
+26 |
...conf semis |
GSW |
2017-18 |
S. Curry | K. Thompson | A. Iguodala | K. Durant | D. Green |
9 |
128 |
+25 |
Champion |
WAS |
2016-17 |
J. Wall | B. Beal | O. Porter | M. Morris | M. Gortat |
13 |
250 |
+20 |
...conf semis |
The Warriors Hampton Five make the list here at #9 and might win a popular vote
for 'scariest lineup' to face of the above. Surprisingly last season's playoffs with Looney in for Klay was a runaway leader in per minute plus/minus, albeit with a limited sample size of only 34 minutes total.
I'd call your attention though to the #2 lineup on the list, maybe one of the true original pioneers of "Small Ball" in the NBA, the 2001-2002 Boston Celtics who didn't make it past the Nets, losing in six in the conference finals. Check out this 5-man group --
- Kenny Anderson 6'0
- Paul Pierce 6'7
- Rodney Rogers 6'7
- Eric Williams 6'8
- Antoine Walker 6'8
...Look familiar? While Don Nelson often gets a lot of praise for being open minded about trying 'positionless' basketball, and the recent Warriors dynasty put the phrase on everyone's lips, perhaps the Celtics head coach at the time Jim O'Brien should get more credit for being innovative in that regard! The criticism might be he didn't go all in on smallball -- against the Nets the lineup above was +12 in only 18 minutes, and an even smaller lineup with 6'1 Tony Delk in for Williams was +28 in 16 minutes! Meanwhile the big starting lineup with 6'11 Battie at center was a woeful -40 in 106 minutes in the series.
If you set a threshold of say 100 minutes minimum together in the playoffs as a 5-man group, then the '10-11 Mavericks are your top 'death lineup' of the bigger sample ones. Sadly we will never know how it might have played back, as Tyson Chandler was allowed to walk as a free agent before it was given another try.
NBA Playoffs top 2-Man/3-Man combos
|
Finally to wrap this up, we'll take a quick view at the top 2-man and 3-man combinations in a single playoff season.
Top Playoffs 2-Man Lineups
Tm |
Season |
Lineup |
Minutes |
Plus/Minus |
Outcome |
SAS |
2002-03 |
T. Duncan | M. Ginobili |
568 |
+238 |
Champion |
GSW |
2016-17 |
S. Curry | D. Green |
455 |
+217 |
Champion |
MIA |
2011-12 |
L. James | D. Wade |
799 |
+217 |
Champion |
DET |
2003-04 |
R. Hamilton | B. Wallace |
830 |
+216 |
Champion |
BOS |
2007-08 |
R. Allen | K. Garnett |
857 |
+204 |
Champion |
LAL |
2000-01 |
K. Bryant | S. O'Neal |
620 |
+187 |
Champion |
GSW |
2014-15 |
S. Curry | D. Green |
688 |
+180 |
Champion |
GSW |
2016-17 |
S. Curry | K. Durant |
471 |
+178 |
Champion |
GSW |
2016-17 |
S. Curry | K. Thompson |
433 |
+178 |
Champion |
Ah, the Mighty Spurs duo of Duncan and Ginobili take top billing. In reality if you had any of the twosomes above as a starting point for your franchise you would likely feel confident of success going forward! Indeed, each of the top ten listed here wound up as Champions in the specific season.
...For Warriors fans, the fact that Steph_Draymond featured twice in the top ten (and '14-15 was without Durant on the team) may give some renewed optimism to what the Dubs can accomplish in the coming season.
What about the "Three Star Model" you ask?
Top Playoffs 3-Man Lineups
Tm |
Season |
Lineup |
Minutes |
Plus/Minus |
Outcome |
DET |
2003-04 |
R. Hamilton | T. Prince | B. Wallace |
648 |
+182 |
Champion |
DAL |
2010-11 |
J. Kidd | D. Nowitzki | J. Terry |
298 |
+179 |
Champion |
CLE |
2015-16 |
L. James | J. Smith | T. Thompson |
498 |
+176 |
Champion |
DET |
2003-04 |
C. Billups | R. Hamilton | B. Wallace |
701 |
+176 |
Champion |
DET |
2003-04 |
R. Hamilton | B. Wallace | R. Wallace |
641 |
+174 |
Champion |
CLE |
2015-16 |
K. Irving | L. James | T. Thompson |
505 |
+166 |
Champion |
MIA |
2011-12 |
M. Chalmers | L. James | D. Wade |
616 |
+165 |
Champion |
CLE |
2015-16 |
K. Irving | L. James | J. Smith |
606 |
+163 |
Champion |
BOS |
2007-08 |
R. Allen | K. Garnett | P. Pierce |
702 |
+162 |
Champion |
GSW |
2016-17 |
S. Curry | K. Durant | D. Green |
349 |
+161 |
Champion |
...and again the leaderboard is full of champions. Toronto's crew in their recent triumph had a top 3-man of Kawhi_Lowry_Siakam with a nice +126 in 609 minutes, but only good for 43rd place in raw plus/minus.
|